BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Fresno St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 202 Overall: (15-18) Overall Strength =   26.91
Conference: Mountain West Record: (8-12) | District: 1-02 Record: (13-17)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-06-2023 Home    W    26.91  70  42   ZZ  79 (  0-  1) Fresno Pacific          0.00 *   28.00                      
  2 11-10-2023 Home    W    26.91 100  47   ZZ 182 (  0-  1) UC Merced               0.00 *   53.00                      
  3 11-15-2023 Home    W    31.73  74  55    1 318 (  5- 25) Pepperdine              4.81     14.19                      
  4 11-18-2023 Away    L    18.40  63  65    1 293 (  8- 21) CS Bakersfield         -8.51      6.51                      
  5 11-21-2023 Home    W    34.14  74  64    1 205 ( 15- 18) Long Beach St           7.22      2.78                      
  6 11-24-2023 Away    L    21.53  36  55    1 101 ( 24-  8) Grand Canyon           -5.38    -13.62                      
  7 11-25-2023 Neutral W    31.73  70  60    1 255 ( 15- 18) E Illinois              4.81      5.19                      
  8 11-29-2023 Home    L     2.17  61  72    1 316 (  8- 23) Portland St           -24.74     13.74                      
  9 12-02-2023 Home    W    41.49  71  52    1 223 ( 12- 19) UC San Diego           14.58      4.42                      
 10 12-06-2023 Home    L    10.74  68  77    1 248 ( 10- 21) CS Fullerton          -16.18      7.18                      
 11 12-09-2023 Away    L     7.18  59  84    1 167 ( 17- 14) Cal Poly              -19.74     -5.26                      
 12 12-16-2023 Home    W    37.23  68  47    1 277 (  6- 25) CS Sacramento          10.31     10.69                      
 13 12-20-2023 Neutral L    33.86  76  80    1 102 ( 11- 20) Arizona St              6.95    -10.95                      
 14 12-30-2023 Home    W *  35.05  59  49    1 189 ( 15- 17) Air Force               8.13      1.87                      
 15 01-03-2024 Away    W *  26.29  70  67    1 261 (  7- 24) San Jose St            -0.62      3.62                      
 16 01-07-2024 Away    L *  27.46  70  77    1 148 ( 22- 13) San Diego St            0.54     -7.54                      
 17 01-10-2024 Home    L *  28.13  55  61    1 113 ( 20- 11) Colorado St             1.21     -7.21                      
 18 01-13-2024 Home    W *  34.36  90  64    1 345 (  5- 25) Utah St                 7.45     18.55                      
 19 01-20-2024 Away    L *  29.49  62  63    1 188 ( 16- 16) Nevada                  2.57     -3.57                      
 20 01-24-2024 Away    L *  26.80  77  84    1 156 ( 21- 11) New Mexico             -0.12     -6.88                      
 21 01-27-2024 Home    L *  11.53  47  69    1 116 ( 18- 15) Wyoming               -15.38     -6.62                      
 22 01-31-2024 Home    L *  20.22  50  60    1 143 ( 21- 14) Boise St               -6.69     -3.31                      
 23 02-03-2024 Away    W *  33.65  70  50    1 345 (  5- 25) Utah St                 6.74     13.26                      
 24 02-07-2024 Away    L *  26.42  56  69    1 113 ( 20- 11) Colorado St            -0.49    -12.51                      
 25 02-10-2024 Home    L *  34.20  49  63    1  37 ( 30-  3) UNLV                    7.28    -21.28                      
 26 02-14-2024 Away    W *  36.34  74  68    1 189 ( 15- 17) Air Force               9.43     -3.43                      
 27 02-17-2024 Home    W *  33.00  74  59    1 261 (  7- 24) San Jose St             6.08      8.92                      
 28 02-21-2024 Home    W *  37.19  57  45    1 188 ( 16- 16) Nevada                 10.28      1.72                      
 29 02-24-2024 Away    L *  30.51  65  70    1 143 ( 21- 14) Boise St                3.60     -8.60                      
 30 03-02-2024 Away    L *  27.82  51  62    1 116 ( 18- 15) Wyoming                 0.91    -11.91                      
 31 03-05-2024 Home    L *  14.50  58  72    1 156 ( 21- 11) New Mexico            -12.41     -1.59                      
 32 03-10-2024 Neutral W *  45.69  62  44    1 189 ( 15- 17) Air Force              18.78     -0.78                      
 33 03-11-2024 Away    L *   5.49  35  83    1  37 ( 30-  3) UNLV                  -21.42    -26.58                      
      Averages              26.91  64.3 63.0

Best game:   45.69 = 18 point win over Air Force
Worst game:   2.17 = 11 point loss to Portland St
Team stdev:  10.54